JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — It only takes one, but forecasts for this year's Atlantic hurricane season are beginning to be released and the reports are calling for an above-average number of storms.
The primary reasons? Extremely warm tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperatures and a likely La Nina season.
For reference, the 30-year average for an Atlantic hurricane season is 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
Colorado State University's forecast released on Thursday morning calls for a "very active season" with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes. Click here to read their full report.
The report summary states, "We anticipate that the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be extremely active. Current El Niño conditions are likely to transition to La Niña conditions this summer/fall, leading to hurricane-favorable wind shear conditions. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic are currently at record warm levels and are anticipated to remain well above average for the upcoming hurricane season. A warmer-than-normal tropical Atlantic provides a more conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and intensification. This forecast is of above-normal confidence for an early April outlook. We anticipate a well above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean."
As always, if you live in a hurricane-prone area such as the First Coast, you want to make sure you are prepared before every season. It only takes one storm to make an impact on your life. It only takes one storm to make it an "active season" for you and your family. It only takes one storm to change your life. Be prepared and stay prepared all season long!
The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and runs through November 30. It's historical peak is around September 10. Your First Coast News Most Accurate Weather Team is always on your side tracking every storm from start to finish all hurricane season long.