JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — Continue to stay tuned to updates as the National Hurricane Center highlights an area of disorganized showers with a low chance of tropical development. More than likely, this system will only help to enhance our storm chances by Wednesday and Thursday. A front that marches across the region around that same time will help to lift the tropical wave northeast towards the Carolinas and eventually into the open Atlantic.
TONIGHT: A calm evening for folks along the coast as storms settle down west of Highway 301 and along I-75 around sunset. Overnight temperatures settle into the lower 70s for inland areas and in the middle 70s closer to the beach.
MONDAY: Expect things to play out similarly to Sunday with temperatures quickly warming into the lower and middle 90s, plenty of summer sunshine, and storms gradually developing along the sea breezes after lunch time. The heaviest of the rain will once again fall west of Highway 301 and storms that do develop with fade after sunset. Heat index values stick in the 100 to 105 degree range!
TUESDAY: An approaching front will press across the Southeast and help to add a bit more instability into our forecast by Tuesday. This will call for a few more afternoon showers and storms than what we'll see on Monday. Highs will continue to be steamy, yet seasonable in the lower 90s.
EXTENDED: The front finally makes its way to the First Coast by early Wednesday, but it's expected to stall over the area. This means significant thunderstorm chances on both Wednesday and Thursday before the front slowly fades and retracts back north on Friday. High pressure then builds back in for the weekend, which will call for more seasonable summery conditions -- hot, humid, pop-up afternoon storms.
TROPICS: The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of disorganized showers that is drifting towards the Bahamas. There is a 10% chance of development within 48 hours and a 10% chance of development within the next 5 days. Stay tuned to future updates with this system, but as of now it looks like it will only help to enhance our thunderstorm activity by mid-late week before a front scoops up the energy and moves it back out to sea.