Allen Robinson doesn't need the Jaguars.
While he is coming off ACL surgery, the wide receiver is still 24 and only two years removed from posting 1,400 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns.
Robinson is likely to have a decent amount of suitors on the open market if he makes it to free agency on March 14. While those teams probably won't pay him around $16 million like the franchise tag would have, Robinson will still probably receive some form of long-term security not offered by the placeholder tender.
Robinson was informed by the Jaguars that he would not receive the franchise tag before Tuesday's 4 p.m. deadline. Jacksonville still has an exclusive window to negotiate with Robinson until March 12.
With the leverage of the franchise tag no longer in place, Robinson may try to see what he can get on the open market.
If he gets a strong offer, he is probably gone. If that happens, the Jaguars will have very limited options in free agency.
Robinson is among a potential top trio of wide receivers who are set to hit unrestricted free agency. If the Jaguars pass on Robinson, the remaining members of that group feature Sammy Watkins of the Los Angeles Rams and Paul Richardson of the Seattle Seahawks.
While those two players offer upside, their career numbers are kind of underwhelming when compared to the in-house option.
Watkins, like Robinson, has only eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards once. Like Robinson, Watkins posted his career-high stats in 2015. His lone season in Los Angeles was above average but still hardly impressive. Watkins put up 593 receiving yards and eight touchdowns, which is on par with Robinson's "mediocre" 2016 output of 883 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
Along with Watkins, Richardson is another player who intrigues a lot of analysts. However, his career-high year production came this past season when he produced 703 receiving yards and six touchdowns, which is actually worse than Robinson's supposed down year in 2016.
Richardson has produced 95 receptions for 1,302 receiving yards and eight touchdowns during his four-year career. Robinson surpassed that production during the 2015 season alone.
Once you're past the initial wave of standout wide receivers, you have the likes of Marqise Lee, Donte Moncrief, Mike Wallace and Taylor Gabriel.
While that quartet has starter-level talent, all four are best served in No. 2 or No. 3 roles.
Lee was given the Jaguars' No. 1 baton last season and managed to lose out on the internal receiving-yard crown to an undrafted rookie. Lee has grown over the years and his durability concerns have waned but he still isn't a player who demands the fear of opposing defenses.
Moncrief is a career underachiever, Wallace is on the wrong side of 30 and Gabriel benefited heavily from double teams drawn by Julio Jones in Atlanta.
The Jaguars' lone area of true upside in replacing Robinson would be the NFL Draft. The class is polarizing but deep and the Jaguars could seemingly nab a talented receiver during the first three rounds.
The downside of counting on the draft is that the Jaguars' current group of wide receivers is already pretty young. Three of their top four receivers under contract have only played one season. The lone veteran, Allen Hurns, isn't a true lock to stick around. If Robinson and Lee walk in free agency, Hurns would probably stay as the lone veteran presence.
Adding a rookie to an already young group doesn't seem like an ideal move for a team that held a lead in the second half of the AFC Championship Game just two months ago. That's why potentially letting Robinson walk seems so damning.
The Jaguars will still be able to negotiate a new contract with Robinson before the start of free agency. While passing on the tag may indicate their feelings toward the wide receiver, the options outside of him are pretty underwhelming and that could cause both parties to work things out with a short-term deal.
Follow Mike Kaye on Twitter at @Mike_E_Kaye.