People wait to cast their ballots at an early voting center in Washington on Nov. 2.
Nicholas Kamm, AFP/Getty Images
Most of the country will be mild and clear on Election Day, though
stormy weather could pose problems for voters in the battleground state
"Heavy rainfall and strong winds are likely over the
state on Tuesday," says AccuWeather meteorologist Alan Reppert. And, he
says, thunderstorms could reach severe levels in central and southern
parts of the state.
Much of South Carolina, along with southern Alabama and Georgia, also will see rain.
heading to the polls in Charleston and Columbia, S.C., Savannah, Ga.,
and Jacksonville, Fla., will have to brave the heaviest of the rains,"
AccuWeather meteorologist Meghan Evans said.
CHECK WEATHER CONDITIONS IN YOUR AREA
This same storm will
turn into a nor'easter for the mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Wednesday
and Thursday, not good news for places recovering from Sandy's
devastation, Reppert said. Rain, wind and coastal flooding are likely
from Delaware to New England, including hard-hit New Jersey.
the coast deals with rain, the mountains of West Virginia,
Pennsylvania, New York and New England will see snow. Although fierce,
the storm will be more of a "typical nor'easter," Reppert reported.
on Election Day, light rain and snow are forecast to develop over parts
of the Upper Mississippi Valley and the upper Great Lakes. Snow showers
are possible in northern Minnesota, northern Wisconsin and the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan, but Reppert said "there shouldn't be any major
Light rain also is likely in western portions of
Washington state and Oregon on Tuesday, as a storm approaches the
How does weather affect elections? A study
conducted by political scientists in 2007 verified the old American
political adage that Republicans should pray for rain on presidential
election days. The researchers found that for every one inch increase in
rain above its Election Day normal, the Republican presidential
candidate received approximately an extra 2.5% of the vote.
evidence supports the claim that bad weather lowers voter turnout," the
authors wrote in the study, which was published in the Journal of Politics.
"Bad weather (rain and snow) significantly decreases the level of voter
turnout within a county ... and poor weather conditions are positively
related to Republican Party vote share in presidential elections."
Florida on Tuesday, more than an inch of rain is forecast in some parts
of the state. A typical early November day in Jacksonville, for
example, sees less than a 10th of an inch.
The study was conducted
by political scientists Brad Gomez, of the University of Georgia;
Thomas Hansford, of the University of California-Merced; and George
Krause, of the University of Pittsburgh.
"In political science,
it's known that Democrats bear higher costs for voting than
Republicans," Krause said. "And there is a greater cost to voting during
inclement weather, which disproportionately affects people who are more
likely to vote for Democrats."
Whether rain or snow,
precipitation was the major weather issue that kept voters away, as the
authors found that "cold temperatures do not significantly decrease