PHOENIX -- Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio is as popular and
polarizing as ever, evident in the amount of outside interest and
influence focused on his race for a sixth consecutive term.
Arpaio,
who became a national icon in the illegal-immigration enforcement
movement during the past decade, has raised as much as 80% of his
campaign's $8 million from out-of-state donors. In addition, he has
garnered support from political-action committees raising money in his
name and occasionally spending it on his behalf.
That is hardly a
new development. But in a twist not seen in the sheriff's prior
electoral battles, Arpaio's main opponent, retired Phoenix police Sgt.
Paul Penzone, is also benefiting from factions outside Arizona that are
interested in the race, including an independent political-action
committee that received $500,000 from labor groups spending money on
materials and activities aimed at unseating Arpaio.
Immigration,
the sheriff's signature issue, is responsible for attracting much of the
national money pouring in on both sides of the race, said Bruce
Merrill, a longtime Arizona political scientist and pollster.
"Joe's
become the focus of the Senate Bill 1070 groups. Since (ousted Arizona
Senate President) Russell Pearce is now gone, Joe is really kind of the
face of that whole movement," Merrill said. "This race is just heavily
influenced by that, and the money that the sheriff has been able to
raise may well keep him in office."
Translating out-of-state
support into votes in Maricopa County is the challenge for Arpaio's
campaign. It spent more than $700,000 from mid-August to mid-September
promoting the sheriff's legacy via television ads, according to the most
recent campaign-finance reports. More recently, the campaign has
inundated local airwaves with ads attacking Penzone over allegations
made by his ex-wife during their 2003 divorce.
The anti-Arpaio groups, by contrast, are focused on getting out the vote.
Campaign
for Arizona's Future, a political-action committee targeting Arpaio,
has been funded by $500,000 from the AFL-CIO and UNITE HERE, a hotel-
and hospitality-workers' union. The labor groups' donations nearly match
what Penzone's own campaign has raised from contributors so far.
Anti-Arpaio
money has largely been spent on salaries for in-state workers, meals
and supplies, according to campaign-finance reports.
Campaign for
Arizona's Future also paid for a mailer this month reminding recipients
that a vote for the independent candidate in the race, former Scottsdale
police Lt. Mike Stauffer, was essentially a vote for Arpaio because it
would bleed support from Penzone.
The union-funded group became
active in Arizona politics beginning in 2007, said Brendan Walsh, the
political-action committee's chairman, after immigration enforcement
began to cause concerns for workers' rights.
The emphasis on
issues affecting local workers is a key difference between the union
funding and the out-of-state donors fueling Arpaio's campaign, he said.
"It's
rooted in our local membership and the needs of our local membership,"
Walsh said. "That certainly does distinguish from Arpaio's national
donors, where they don't have a local interest."
Arpaio's campaign
manager, Chad Willems, said: "I think the voters of Maricopa County
need to ask themselves why a New York-based labor union would pour half a
million dollars into a county sheriff's race? What do they have to gain
from Penzone being sheriff?"
Though the labor groups have worked
on other local campaigns in the last five years, including Phoenix City
Council races, their focus has been on registering more than 34,000 new
voters and reminding them to vote on Nov. 6, Walsh said. He expects
volunteers and workers to knock on 50,000 doors in the coming weeks.
Those
doors likely won't include homes in Sun Lakes, a retirement community
and Arpaio stronghold where Penzone made an appearance last week to
speak with a crowd of about 50 residents, most of them supporters. When
Arpaio spoke in the same room earlier this year, it was packed, one
resident said.
Still, there are signs of support for Penzone - like those that dot some yards in Sun Lakes.
Arpaio's
campaign scoffs at the notion that the race might be close, calling it a
fabrication of activists and the media. Poll numbers vary, depending on
which candidate paid for the survey. But Arpaio has remained ahead in
all of the surveys, with his lead over Penzone ranging from 14
percentage points to about 4 percentage points.
The Penzone
campaign, however, paints the monthlong advertising blitz on
Phoenix-area television as a sign that Arpaio is sweating.
One ad
funded by Arpaio's campaign accuses Penzone of beating his ex-wife. It
is based on a 9-year-old police report. The ad came up several times at
Penzone's Sun Lakes appearance - Penzone himself offered to answer any
audience questions on the topic.
The domestic-violence report came
after a 2003 argument between Penzone and his former spouse at her
Glendale home. Both ended up with minor injuries, and Penzone was listed
as the victim in a police report.
The Glendale prosecutor's
office declined to take the case because there was no likelihood of
conviction, according to police records.
Penzone is up front about
the incident when speaking publicly, and told the Sun Lakes crowd he
immediately called his Phoenix police supervisor to disclose the
incident. He said any allegations that he pushed his ex-wife are
"untrue."
Residents at the meeting said afterward that they would
prefer candidates focus on issues related to running the Sheriff's
Office instead of personal matters.
"My assumption was, it's just
another political lie because Arpaio is threatened," said Sun Lakes
resident Pat Murrish. "It's just like most campaigns now."
Pollster
Merrill said about 85% of Arizona political ads are negative, but they
tend not to have too much impact on the outcome of races. That is
particularly true with a candidate like Arpaio, about whom most voters
have long-held opinions.
"They can't change people's minds," he
said. "They are very effective sometimes in energizing your base,
particularly now that we're in the end-game."
The race, Merrill said, could come down to which candidate does a better job getting out the vote.
In
that regard, the labor groups' opposition to Arpaio and their
commitment to voter turnout could affect the outcome, Merrill said.
"That
kind of local effort becomes absolutely crucial and could be a deciding
factor in a close race," he said. "And this could be a close race."
The Arizona Republic