Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Monday in New York City.(Photo: Allison Joyce, Getty Images)
NEW YORK -- Despite a year rife with uncertainty due to the nation's
fiscal crisis, U.S. elections and concerns about the global economy, the
broad U.S. stock market performed surprisingly well, posting
double-digit gains in 2012.
Stocks rallied 1.7% on the final
trading day of the year amid signs that Democratic and Republican
lawmakers were closing in on an 11th-hour deal to avoid the bulk of the
so-called "fiscal cliff," propelling stocks to a 2012 gain of 13.4%.
The
13.4% gain in the benchmark Standard and Poor's 500-stock index came
despite a late-year swoon that was caused by fears that lawmakers would
not seal a deal by midnight to avoid economy-damaging tax hikes and
government spending cuts, better known as the fiscal cliff.
All of
the major U.S. stock indexes finished 2012 solidly in positive
territory, successfully climbing what Wall Street dubs the "wall of
worry" in the process. The biggest winner was the technology-dominated
Nasdaq composite, which gained 15.9%. The Russell 2000, an index of
small-company stocks, rallied 14.6%. The S&P 500, a large-company
stock gauge, was next with a gain of more than 13%. The worst performer
of the four major indexes was the blue-chip Dow Jones industrial
average, which rose 7.3%.
Most likely, 2012 will be best
remembered on Wall Street for the record run-up and subsequent 30%
plunge of shares of Apple: the world's most-valuable company; the
botched and overhyped Facebook IPO in May that saddled millions of Main
Street investors with losses; a multibillion-dollar trading loss at
JPMorgan Chase caused by a U.K. trader known as the "London Whale" whose
big risks went bad; the first real signs of a sustainable recovery in
the U.S. housing market, which catapulted home builder Pulte to a 188%
gain and the No. 1 performing stock in the S&P 500; a repeat win for
President Obama and a status-quo result in Congress on Election Day
that all but assures more political gridlock on Capitol Hill; a bold,
game-changing move by the European Central Bank to keep the eurozone
from breaking apart; China's ability to avert a steep economic dive;
and, of course, the late-year political battle in Washington, D.C.,
over how best to solve the nation's deepening fiscal crisis.
Yet,
2012 was also a year when investors became familiar with a new term or
investing concept - "risk on" or "risk off" - to describe the up, down,
up, down roller coaster known as the stock market. The market's moves in
2012 were increasingly determined by news headlines that caused
investors en masse to either swing for the fences or play it super-safe.
The year will also be remembered for the Facebook IPO, a losing
experience for most that reminded investors that no investment is a sure
thing.
And 2012 will also be remembered as the year when the
economy started to show signs that it could start growing again at a
more normal rate, witnessed by growth of 3.1% in the third quarter of
2012, its fastest pace since the final three months of 2011 and its
second-best quarter of growth since 2009.
Stocks also got a boost
from an improvement in the jobs market. In November, the unemployment
rate dropped to 7.7%, far below its 10% peak in October '09 and its
lowest level since December 2008. The Federal Reserve also provided a
floor of sorts under stocks. The Fed, led by Chairman Ben Bernanke,
reiterated its plans to keep short-term interest rates low until the the
job market strengthened significantly. It also launched a fresh round
of purchases of U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed bonds, an
unconventional policy known as quantitative easing which it launched
four years ago, in an effort to keep borrowing costs low to support
economic growth and hiring.
But when you add up all the tail winds
and subtract out all the headwinds in 2012, the stock market's gains
added up to a paper gain of roughly $2.1 trillion for investors,
according to Wilshire Associates.
USA Today